BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Monday, January 15, 2024
South Alabama 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.70 |
26.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
379.93 |
379.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.70 |
5.70 (+0.00) |
South Alabama 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
30.45 |
24.29 (-6.17) |
30.55 |
26.41 (-4.13) |
26.41 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
416.91 |
361.30 (-55.61) |
401.18 |
379.11 (-22.07) |
379.11 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.76 |
5.18 (-0.58) |
6.00 |
5.64 (-0.37) |
5.64 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
20.55 |
25.18 (+4.63) |
22.36 |
25.08 (+2.72) |
25.08 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
316.00 |
345.32 (+29.32) |
307.55 |
317.89 (+10.34) |
317.89 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
4.96 |
5.31 (+0.35) |
5.02 |
5.19 (+0.17) |
5.19 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.7 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-03 |
@Tulane |
20.36 |
23.17 |
+2.81 |
43.53 |
45.49% |
L 17-37 |
0-1 |
| 2023-09-09 |
Southeastern Louisiana |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 35-17 |
1-1 |
| 2023-09-16 |
@Oklahoma State |
24.95 |
35.40 |
+10.45 |
60.34 |
33.24% |
W 33-7 |
2-1 |
| 2023-09-23 |
Central Michigan |
40.34 |
16.21 |
-24.12 |
56.55 |
88.69% |
L 30-34 |
2-2 |
| 2023-09-30 |
@James Madison |
21.86 |
32.68 |
+10.82 |
54.54 |
32.65% |
L 23-31 |
2-3 |
| 2023-10-07 |
@Louisiana Monroe |
37.38 |
13.31 |
-24.07 |
50.70 |
88.60% |
W 55-7 |
3-3 |
| 2023-10-17 |
Southern Mississippi |
43.09 |
18.67 |
-24.42 |
61.76 |
89.16% |
W 55-3 |
4-3 |
| 2023-10-28 |
Louisiana |
37.47 |
24.67 |
-12.80 |
62.14 |
70.53% |
L 20-33 |
4-4 |
| 2023-11-02 |
@Troy |
16.18 |
25.33 |
+9.15 |
41.51 |
35.33% |
L 10-28 |
4-5 |
| 2023-11-11 |
Arkansas State |
37.10 |
20.66 |
-16.43 |
57.76 |
76.36% |
W 21-14 |
5-5 |
| 2023-11-18 |
Marshall |
33.77 |
20.04 |
-13.73 |
53.81 |
72.02% |
W 28-0 |
6-5 |
| 2023-11-26 |
@Texas State |
38.75 |
28.09 |
-10.67 |
66.84 |
67.11% |
L 44-52 |
6-6 |
| Postseason |
|---|
| 2023-12-24 |
@Eastern Michigan |
32.96 |
9.74 |
-23.22 |
42.71 |
87.24% |
W 59-10 |
7-6 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 7-6 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 2-11 |
0.00% |
| 3-10 |
0.01% |
| 4-9 |
0.16% |
| 5-8 |
1.00% |
| 6-7 |
4.22% |
| 7-6 |
11.93% |
| 8-5 |
21.88% |
| 9-4 |
27.07% |
| 10-3 |
20.99% |
| 11-2 |
9.80% |
| 12-1 |
2.67% |
| 13-0 |
0.26% |